Labour may win as little as 20% of the vote and fewer than 150 seats at the next general election, according to a think tank affiliated to the party.

Labour may win as little as 20% of the vote and fewer than 150 seats at the next general election, according to a think tank affiliated to the party.
New analysis by the Fabian Society suggests confusion over Brexit, a slump in support in Scotland, and Jeremy Corbyn’s unpopularity mean Labour has virtually no chance of winning outright in the next election.
The damning assessment of Labour’s prospects comes after a YovGov poll for The Times suggested support for Labour is now at just 24%, its lowest since Michael Foot was leader in 1983.
And it follows the Unite leader Len McCluskey apparently calling on Mr Corbyn to consider quitting if the polls are “still awful” in 2019, even though he later claimed he still backed the Labour leader.
After analysing existing poll data and historical trends, the Fabians predict that the next election, whether held imminently or in 2020, is very likely to see Labour win fewer than 200 seats for the first time since 1935, possibly falling to about 140.
Currently the party has 231 MPs.

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